Scott Feinberg, The Hollywood Reporter's executive editor of awards coverage, unveils his initial Oscar predictions for the 2026-2027 film awards season.
The Hollywood Reporter has published its inaugural forecast for the 2027 Academy Awards, featuring insights from its executive editor of awards coverage, Scott Feinberg. The predictions were made public on September 3, 2026, providing an early look at the competitive landscape as the film awards season kicks off.
Feinberg's analysis covers all 24 Academy Awards categories and marks the beginning of a series he calls the "Feinberg Forecast." This forecast aims to project what is likely to happen in the awards rather than advocate for specific films. To bolster his predictions, Feinberg relies on a comprehensive methodology, which includes attending screenings, analyzing awards campaigns, and engaging with Academy voters.
This year’s Oscar race is spurred by multiple significant film festivals, including the Venice Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival, and New York Film Festival. These events play a crucial role in unveiling contenders. Major films that have premiered include notable titles like The Odyssey, Project Hail Mary, and Toy Story 5, expected to be prominent in the awards discussion.
A highlight mentioned in the forecast is The Odyssey, currently seen as the frontrunner for Best Picture. It has received critical acclaim with a 94% score on Rotten Tomatoes and has grossed over $1.6 billion worldwide. However, its reception during the official Academy screening in Los Angeles was described as "warmly but not effusively received."
In terms of predicted contenders, Feinberg's forecast identifies several frontrunners across categories:
Feinberg highlights that the unique circumstances of the awards season—particularly the need for contenders to capture the attention of Academy members early—could play an influential role in determining nominees and winners. With many members beginning to access films via the Academy Screening Room, early visibility is critical.
Some potential dark horses include projects like Dune: Part Three, which has yet to be released but is generating considerable buzz due to its expansive trilogy. Additionally, the success of thematic films, even those that are less mainstream, may lead to unexpected nominations as demonstrated by past Academy trends.
Feinberg notes that while the competition is heating up, uncertainties remain regarding various projects that are yet to be seen or are currently under embargo. Titles such as Artificial by Luca Guadagnino and Peter Farrelly's I Play Rocky are highly anticipated.
There are also intriguing entries from lesser-known filmmakers that could surprise audiences and critics alike. With several films set to premiere at upcoming festivals, the dynamic of the race could shift as new contenders emerge.
Feinberg’s initial Oscar forecast provides valuable insights into the evolving landscape of the 2026-2027 awards season. As the film festivals unfold, the industry will be keenly watching how the initial predictions align with the outcomes, particularly for films like The Odyssey and Project Hail Mary. The insights shared in The Hollywood Reporter emphasize the competitive nature of this year's race and serve as a foundational reference point as the awards season progresses.
For more detailed exploration of key films and contenders, you can read the full analysis on The Hollywood Reporter and check out our previous coverage on notable contenders like Fjord and their awards potential, as well as the dynamics surrounding the upcoming festivals.
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